TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS. EXAMPLES WITH MATLAB

MATLAB has the tool Deep Leraning Toolbox that provides algorithms, functions, and apps to create, train, visualize, and simulate neural networks. You can perform classification, regression, clustering, dimensionality reduction, timeseries forecasting, and dynamic system modeling and control. Dynamic neural networks are good at timeseries prediction. You can use the Neural Net Time Series app to solve different kinds of time series problems It is generally best to start with the GUI, and then to use the GUI to automatically generate command line scripts. Before using either method, the first step is to define the problem by selecting a data set. Each GUI has access to many sample data sets that you can use to experiment with the toolbox. If you have a specific problem that you want to solve, you can load your own data into the workspace. With MATLAB is possibe to solve three different kinds of time series problems. In the first type of time series problem, you would like to predict future values of a time series y(t) from past values of that time series and past values of a second time series x(t). This form of prediction is called nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous (external) input, or NARX. In the second type of time series problem, there is only one series involved. The future values of a time series y(t) are predicted only from past values of that series. This form of prediction is called nonlinear autoregressive, or NAR. The third time series problem is similar to the first type, in that two series are involved, an input series (predictors) x(t) and an output series (responses) y(t). Here you want to predict values of y(t) from previous values of x(t), but without knowledge of previous values of y(t). This book develops methods for time series forecasting using neural networks across MATLAB Read more